An Aggregate Import Demand Function for India: A Cointegration Analysis
نویسنده
چکیده
This paper investigates the behaviour of Indian aggregate imports during the period 1971-1995. In our empirical analysis of the aggregate import demand function for India, cointegration and error correction modelling approaches have been used. In the aggregate import demand function for India, import volume is found to be cointegrated with relative import price and real GDP. Our econometric estimates of the import-demand function for India suggest that import-demand is largely explained by real GDP, and is generally less sensitive to import price changes. Import liberalisation is found to have had little impact on import demand. * While writing the paper, Nasiruddin Ahmed was a PhD student in The School of Economics and Political Science University of Sydney Disclaimer Notice : The responsibility for the opinions expressed in these working papers rests solely with the author(s). The School of Economics and Political Science gives no warranty and accepts no responsibility for the accuracy or the completeness of the material.
منابع مشابه
An Empirical Analysis of China’s International Reserves Demand Function
The study aims to estimate an international reserves demand model for China using economic growth, propensity to import, real effective exchange rate and trade openness variables for quarterly period spanning from 1985Q1 to 2014Q4.The bounds testing technique to cointegration is used to test for a long run relationship, while the autoregressive distributed lag approach is used to estimate short...
متن کاملAn Econometric Estimation of Traditional Import Demand Function for Pakistan
Many studies have estimated the aggregate import demand function for Pakistan by using non-stationary data. Their findings suffer from the so-called ‘spurious regression’ problem. This study attempts to estimate the aggregate import demand function for Pakistan by employing Johansen and Juselius cointegration technique on the annual data for the period 1975-2005. Our results show that there is ...
متن کاملEstimating Aggregate Import-Demand Function for Nigeria Revisited
This study estimates the aggregate import demand function for Nigeria for the period of 1980 2010. Cointegration approach was implemented. While the error correction term in the estimated VEC model was evaluated for long run causal relationship, the short term coefficients were gauged for short term causal relationship between the explained and the explanatory variables. Results indicate: (i) t...
متن کاملAnalysis of Rice Import Trend and It's Economic Factors: Case of Iran
Rice comes second after wheat in Iran`s food consumption economy. However Iran is one of the greatest rice importer countries all over the world because of its rising population and recent growth in GDP. This paper presents an analysis of cointegration test between rice import and it`s economic factors over the period 1990-2011, employing Engle-Granger model. At first, Dickey-Fuller test shows ...
متن کاملThe Effect of Global Financial Crisis on Trade Elasticities: Evidence from BRIICS Countries and Turkey
The effect of the global financial crisis on the international trade patterns of developed countries has been one of the main focuses of recent studies. However, the dependence level of world trade on emerging markets increases every day. Therefore, it is important to study the level of the negative effect of the crisis on emerging economies and the level of their recovery potential. This paper...
متن کامل